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 THE LIFE OF SIMON DE MONTFORT . EARL OF LEICESTER
 
             CHAPTER VIII.
           THE REACTION.
           
           Of the reactionary period that followed the peace of
          1259 it is very hard to get a clear idea. “For nearly three years from this
          time”, says Dr. Shirley, “the history of de Montfort is worse than a blank : it
          is a riddle”. Perhaps a key to this riddle may be found in the undecided
          attitude taken up by the King of France. Simons character was better known and
          more highly estimated among the great nobles of France than among those of
          England, and with Louis personally he was on excellent terms; but the pious and
          autocratic king could not be expected to sympathise with his revolutionary ideas, however much he may have been disgusted by the
          duplicity and incapacity of Henry. His monarchical principles eventually
          carried the day, but the length of time during which he hesitated shows how
          little was wanting to make him throw his weight into the other scale. The
          struggle between Simon and Henry takes more and struggle more of a personal
          character; and with the political aspect of it, private hostility and private
          disputes about money matters and the like are strangely mixed up. Each of the
          combatants strives to win the favour of the King of
          France and the people of England. When one is in Paris, the other attempts to
          steal a march upon him in London. When Henry returns to England Simon finds it
          convenient to be in France. The two stand opposite each other not as king and
          subject, but as two independent princes, in whose private disputes as well as
          in their political quarrels a king or a queen of France is called upon to
          arbitrate. A process goes on somewhat similar to that before 1258. De Montfort
          after a temporary depression regains his hold upon the people, while the Pope
          and the King of France unite to support Henry, the result being an immediate
          reunion of the national party and the downfall of the monarchy.
   When Henry went to France in November 1259, the royal
          authority was vested in a Council of Regency, pretty equally composed of the
          two parties, consisting of the Archbishop of Canterbury, the Bishop of
          Worcester, the Earl Marshal, Hugh Bigod the
          justiciar, and Philip Basset. The last three were however already wavering, and
          their nomination shows that the tide had turned. How far this council may be
          held to have superseded the Council of Fifteen, or whether it was anything more
          than a committee chosen from it—since all but Basset were members of the
          Fifteen—is uncertain. It is not probable that the baronial government lost its
          power till after the kings return, or even later. Before his departure, Henry
          took leave of the citizens of London in the Folkmoot, and conferred upon them
          certain unimportant liberties. But no sooner did he feel himself somewhat
          secure, thinking probably he had made sure of Louis, than he wrote to the Pope
          from Paris to say that he hoped now to renew the negotiations about Apulia; while
          on renews the same day, 16 January 1260, he sent a studiously polite letter to
          the justiciar, explaining the reason of his delay abroad, asking him to send
          another arbiter to France, and bidding him refrain from summoning the regular
          Lent Parliament on account of the report of a Welch invasion. Shortly
          afterwards he distinctly informed Hugh Bigod that the
          Sicilian enterprise was to be taken up again. Thus did he on the first
          opportunity return to his old schemes, and break one of the most important of
          the Oxford Provisions, by forbidding the assembly of Parliament at the stated
          time. A sign of his reviving power, and a more defensible exercise of it, was
          an edict he issued at the same time, bidding the sheriffs look to their duties
          as guardians of the public peace. But he was too cautious at once to assert
          fully the reactionary policy; he wrote to the Pope begging him not to insist on
          the return of the Bishop of Winchester.
   Meanwhile however, after the conclusion of peace, Earl
          Simon, whose absence had been as usual much regretted, had returned with his
          wife and a large suite to England. He was not likely to acquiesce in such a
          breach of the law as that commanded in the kings letter. The barons therefore
          intimated to the king their desire to hold a Parliament, but received only a
          still more distinct command not to do so till he returned. If anything had been
          needed to convince them of the necessity of union, and the danger of yielding a
          foot to the attempted renewal of Henry’s foreign policy, it was supplied by a
          letter from the Pope, which seems to have arrived about this time in answer to
          their remonstrances on the effect of the usurpation of lay patronage. In it the
          Pope lays down the principle that no layman has a right to dispose of
          ecclesiastical things, although his predecessor had fifteen years before
          confirmed the right of presentation; the laity may not even, he declares, call
          upon the Church to reform her ways. With such a warning as this before their
          eyes, and with the kings attitude plainly declared, the barons summoned a
          Parliament in opposition to his mandate, and informed the king that, if he did
          not soon return from France, he might find it impossible to return when he
          wished. Henry had, in fear of another outbreak, begged his brother Richard to
          hinder an intended invasion of his half-brothers, and the assembling of forces
          in France; while he reported to Louis, probably prematurely, that de Montfort
          was bringing men and arms into England, “whence his attitude towards the king
          was plainly visible”. Meanwhile, as he confessed a year later, he was himself
          collecting forces, and in fact brought them into the country soon after his own
          return.
           Alarmed by the attitude of the barons, and still more
          by the report that Prince Edward had shown a decided leaning towards them,
          Henry suddenly reappeared in London a few days after Parliament had met. There
          was some ground for the rumours as to his son; for
          the old quarrel had burst out again between Gloucester and Leicester, and
          Edward had taken his uncles side. The king immediately entered London and shut
          the gates, while the barons held their Parliament in the Temple. The city had
          decided, on the approach of the disputants with their armed followings, in
          violation of the Provision of 1259, which forbade the bearing of arms, to
          obviate the chance of disturbance by shutting both parties out. Henry however
          admitted Gloucester, who doubtless during his long stay in France, had come to
          a good understanding with him; Edward and de Montfort remained outside with
          their partisans. It seems very probable, from Edward’s character and general
          attitude at this time, that he preferred Leicester to Gloucester; but though
          the king refused to see him for a whole fortnight, from fear that his Roman
          sense of justice would give way before parental fondness, he was at the end of
          that interval reconciled to his father. Henry, having secured his son, gave
          vent to his long-concealed displeasure in an open attack on Simon, using,
          according to one account, false witnesses against him. What was the ground of
          the attack we know not, but it probably had something to do with the recent
          breach of filial duty committed by the prince. Be that as it may, Simon
          answered everything as he had once before on a similar occasion, so that his accusers
          were powerless. Richard, as usual, acted peacemaker, and Simon seems so far to
          have been taken back into favour that he was sent,
          truce with as the most able and prudent general in England, to conduct the war
          the Welch. His skill was not however called into requisition, for a truce was
          made shortly afterwards.
   Perhaps it was owing to this that he was not preset as
          high steward at the marriage of the Princess and Prince Beatrice, in October
          1260, at which Henry of Almaine discharged the duty
          for him. That this absence is not to be looked on as implying any disgrace, is
          made more probable by the fact that about the same time de Montfort’s two sons
          were knighted by Prince Edward. It may have been owing to the dangerous
          influence, which the earl seemed at this time to be getting over the chivalrous
          spirit of the young prince, that the latter was sent to Gascony, of which
          province it will be remembered he had been made lieutenant five years before.
          It seems very likely that the thought of making Edward regent had crossed the
          mind of de Montfort. The nobility of character and warm impulses of the young
          prince, the sense of honour which from the first
          distinguished him, and the sympathy for the oppressed, of which he had already
          given evidence, were enough to encourage such hopes. But these qualities were
          at this time overpowered by others—a hot-headed rashness, and a quickness of
          resentment which made him lose sight of aims requiring patience and
          forethought, and a fickleness of temper which caused him with reason to be
          compared to the leopard. He had as yet but little of that bitter experience
          which made him afterwards so great a king, and de Montfort, if he ever
          cherished the idea of raising him into his father’s place, must have soon found
          it impracticable. Deprived of one possible advocate at Court, Simon soon lost
          the other too; for King Richard, obeying the repeated injunctions of the Pope,
          departed for Germany. Henry was left to his own devices.
   He employed his time during the autumn of 1260 in strengthening
          the Tower of London, whence he expected to command the city. He had already
          compelled all the citizens, from the age of twelve upwards, to swear a renewed
          allegiance to him; and, growing confident in his own strength and the prospect
          of papal support, he began, according to the confession of his own partisans,
          to issue ordinances contrary to the spirit of the Provisions. He even ventured
          to summon Parliament to meet in the Tower, but this the barons refused to do,
          demanding that they should meet in the usual place of assembly at Westminster.
          Hugh Bigod, the justiciar appointed by the barons in
          1258, had resigned early in 1260, for what reason, unless it were a sense of
          failure in a task for which a Bigod was hardly likely
          to be fitted, we do not know. Hugh Despenser, a staunch supporter of de
          Montfort, had been appointed in his place, and this shows the influence exerted
          by the earl up to the return of Henry from France. But now things were changed.
          An uneasy feeling was abroad. It was evident that the Provisions were no longer
          valid, that the baronial Government, if not already extinct, was tottering to
          its fall. Their errors had roused fresh resistance. Several towns had refused
          to admit the itinerant justices appointed by the barons, since their visit had
          been repeated after an interval less than that ordained in the Provisions of
          1259. Another authority tells us that the justices themselves were subjected to
          vexatious interference on the part of the barons, probably those discontented
          nobles through whose territories they passed, not those who held the reins of
          power in London.
   All this confusion produced a feeling of hostility to
          the baronial régime. Meanwhile, like a great undertone of misery, the scarcity
          of food continued throughout England. Things were probably not worse than they
          were before 1258, but the fact that they were not much better was enough to
          condemn a Government which had entered into power with such pretensions. The
          king had openly announced, as far back as February 1260, that as the barons had
          not kept their share of the pact, he was not bound to keep his; yet he thought
          it worthwhile to allay anxiety by issuing an edict commanding the seizure of
          all who spread abroad reports that he intended arbitrarily to alter the law of
          the land. Meanwhile he appeared to be making strenuous efforts to settle his
          private disputes with the Earl of Leicester. It was certainly to his interest
          to remove all causes of complaint that might strengthen Simon’s position. In
          March 1261 it was agreed between the king and the earl and countess to submit
          them to the arbitration of the King of France. Louis was besought to undertake
          the office; the Queen of France, Henry’s sister-in-law, strove to bring about a
          peaceable solution; King Richard wrote to his brother, bidding him abide by the
          decision, whatever it might be. But Louis showed no great inclination to
          involve himself in so delicate a matter; he saw too that it was not a mere
          private quarrel to be settled, and therefore in April he declined to arbitrate.
          Thereupon Queen Margaret took it up, according to previous engagement. But a
          little later, apparently in case the queen too, after nearer examination,
          should find the claims of the opposing parties irreconcilable, a court of
          arbitration was appointed, to consist of four members, two chosen by each
          disputant, with two mediators in addition. Their verdict was to be given by the
          end of September 1261. The part still taken by the King and Queen of France is
          obscure, but seems to have been limited at this time to a general supervision.
          So for a time the question remained undecided, in itself unimportant, but,
          taken in connexion with existing circumstances, a
          constant source of irritation.
   All this while however Henry had been preparing in
          secret for a great blow. A second time, as five-and-forty years before, the
          power of the papacy was called in to absolve the king from his most solemn
          promises, and by an unwarrantable interference, against which the national
          sense revolted, again to revivify those principles which it intended to
          destroy. The papal absolution, for which Henry had been waiting, was made out
          on April 13, 1261; but he was not ready to use it yet. He prepared for the coup
          d'état by occupying Windsor, and by issuing orders to prevent Leicester from
          introducing soldiers by the Cinque Ports. At last, all being ready, he went to
          Dover, which he seems to have occupied without any difficulty, turned out Hugh Bigod from the fortress, as he had already ousted him from
          the Tower, doubtless with his consent; and, having probably met the papal
          messengers at Dover, summoned a Parliament at Winchester at the regular time,
          and on June 14 produced the absolution before the assembled magnates. By this
          document the Pope released the king from all his promises, declaring the
          Provisions to be null and void, and the obligation invalid, “since the sanctity
          of an oath, which ought to strengthen good faith and truth, must not become the
          stronghold of wickedness and treachery”.
   The effect was immense; the suddenness of the blow
          forestalled opposition. At the same Parliament the king deposed Hugh Despenser,
          as being the nominee of his opponents, and made Philip Basset justiciar. The
          great seal was given to Walter de Merton. He then retreated hastily to his
          stronghold of the Tower, thence to crush his enemies in safety. He first
          attempted to recover the castles, in which however he was hindered, at any rate
          in one instance, by the opposition of Hugh Bigod, who
          refused to give up Scarborough and other places except by command of
          Parliament, although he had already given up Dover and the Tower. His refusal
          is a good instance of the vacillating position taken up by so many of the
          barons at this time, it being so worded as to save his conscience, but to leave
          open the chance of surrendering, if the king were supported by the least
          parliamentary authority. The baronial sheriffs were removed, and with the
          appointment of new men in their places the royal authority was restored, at
          least nominally, to its former strength. Strenuous were however made against
          this last and most important measure. The baronial party, though scattered and
          disunited, resisted everywhere the intrusion of the new officials, and
          appointed sheriffs of their own, whom they called Wardens of the Counties. To
          mitigate this opposition the king issued conciliatory proclamations, declaring
          that he was doing nothing nor would do anything against the law of the land,
          and laying all the blame of recent disturbances on the barons, whose
          dissensions, he said, had rendered necessary the introduction of foreign troops
          last year. This confession must have gone far to spoil the effect of the
          promises that preceded it. Still, in spite of the outspoken opposition of a few
          scattered individuals, and doubtless the secret anxiety of many more, the
          king’s success must have seemed at the time complete. The universal
          acquiescence, though it cannot justify the means he took to shake off the yoke,
          shows how much public opinion had changed in the last three years. At the same
          time it proves how easily Henry might have taken advantage of this change in a
          constitutional manner, and have restored, nay doubled, his power by an open and
          legitimate arrangement with Parliament. If violent repudiation of the most
          solemn engagements provoked so little opposition, it is probable that all
          classes would have welcomed with heartfelt joy and a fresh burst of loyalty a
          proposal for a fair and honourable solution of the
          difficulties. Henry not only neglected this great opportunity, but he hastened
          to show the country that it was only the first step towards a complete revival
          of the tyranny.
   What the Earl of Leicester had been doing since his
          appointment as general against the Welch in the previous summer it is impossible
          to say with certainty. He had probably been engaged in settling the question of
          arbitration between himself and his brother-in-law, a question which assumed
          more and more of a political character. It was unfortunate that the two aspects
          of the quarrel were not kept more distinct. The political action of de Montfort
          would have been more free from the possible charge that he used his power to
          satisfy private interests and to right personal wrongs; but it is almost
          needless to call the general feeling of the country, as well as the extent and
          character of the movement, to witness how little weight these interests had in
          the matter. There was moreover this amount of real connexion between the public and the private quarrel, that the wrongs of which the earl
          and countess had to complain were merely specimens of Henry’s general way of
          dealing with his subjects, and with the settlement of this particular question
          was involved the settlement of many others, the sum of which went far to
          produce the opposition to the king. This was acknowledged by Henry himself when
          he wrote in July 1261 to Louis, to say that the points submitted to arbitration
          were those in which he was at variance with his barons and especially with the
          Earl and Countess of Leicester. The publication of the papal bull showed what
          were the real issues at stake between de Montfort and the king.
   The shock seems for a moment to have reunited the
          leaders, though the reunion was soon seen to be but momentary. The Earls of
          Gloucester and Leicester and the Bishop of Worcester took the remarkable step
          of summoning to the autumn Parliament of 1261 three knights from each county
          south of the Trent. The Parliament was to meet a fortnight before the time
          ordained by the Oxford Provisions, and at an unusual place, St. Albans. The
          intention of this act is obvious; it was a recognition of the justice of the
          complaints put forward by the knighthood two years before, and was meant to
          secure their aid in the coming struggle. The boldness of the move seems to show
          the same hand which summoned the Parliament of 1265. The king however resolved
          not to be outbidden, and issued counter-writs
          commanding the knights to meet him on that day in Parliament at Windsor, where,
          if we are to believe Henry’s words, a meeting had been arranged between him and
          the opposite party to discuss terms of peace. But a discussion of this sort
          before the papal absolution was a very different matter from the same
          discussion after the chief point in dispute had been violently decided by one
          of the parties. It appears probable that the meeting spoken of by the king
          never took place, and it is doubtful whether the knights ever came to
          Parliament as summoned. But though the barons, we are told, refused to meet the
          king on this particular occasion, he was successful in his efforts to avoid the
          immediate danger. It was not long before he prevailed on the Earl of Gloucester
          again to desert the opposition, and persuaded him and others to consent to an
          arbitration on the terms of the Provisions. The arrangement to be made was
          obviously intended to be final, since the last appeal, in case of a failure on
          the part of the future court to decide, was to be made to King Richard, and, if
          he too failed, to the King of France, than whom no higher authority acceptable
          to both sides could well be found. It is very doubtful if the court ever sat :
          according to some accounts the discussion was to be put off till the return of
          Prince Edward from Gascony. At any rate the arbitrators must have very soon
          handed it over to Louis, who was from the first looked upon as the only
          possible judge.
   So clearly did the Earl of Leicester perceive this,
          that, apparently foreseeing the failure of his last attempt to win back power,
          he crossed to France towards the end of August 1261. He did not return for a
          year and a half. His departure was attributed by some to vexation at the
          conduct of the Earl of Gloucester; by others it was put down to his resolution
          not to submit the Provisions to arbitration. He left the country, it is said,
          declaring he would rather die without a foot of land than live in perjury and
          falsehood.' His real object, which he concealed under a vow of crusade, was
          doubtless to make a last effort to win the help of Louis. Terrified by the news
          of Simon’s departure, Henry wrote to the King of France to anticipate his
          efforts; he was still more alarmed to find that the national party, that is, at
          the moment, Simon de Montfort, had like himself a regular representative at the
          Court of Rome, who seems for a short time to have had the ear of the new Pope,
          Urban IV. The temporary displeasure of Rome, whether real or simulated, was
          demonstrated by a letter to the king, rebuking the proceedings of his bailiffs
          in Ireland, and laying to their charge exactly the same things as those of
          which complaint had been made by Bishop Grosseteste ten years before. But the
          alienation, such as it was, was of very brief duration, and had no effect,
          since the absolution had been already published. Simon’s efforts in that
          quarter were without any result : Urban continued the policy of his
          predecessors, and repeated the absolution next spring in yet stronger terms
          than those of Alexander.
           Meanwhile the desultory resistance which had been made
          in the counties to the arbitrary appointment of sheriffs, though it appears to
          have continued late into the autumn of 1261, was gradually appeased. The
          introduction of foreign soldiers on the king’s side, in spite of the opposition
          of the Cinque Ports, continued. The tenth was collected again, but with some
          difficulty, and deposited in the royal castles. Soon afterwards the barons, who
          a month or two before had refused to meet the king, were summoned afresh to
          appear, unarmed and under a safe conduct, at Kingston, to discuss terms of
          peace. It was at this Parliament that the court of arbitration just mentioned
          was appointed, and certain new Provisions drawn up, in the shape of a treaty or
          form of peace. Of these we know nothing, beyond that a compromise was effected
          on the important question of the appointment of sheriffs. It was determined
          that each county should select four knights for the office, and that the king
          should appoint one of these. That some form of peace was determined is evident
          from the fact that the king wrote in December 1261 to several barons, including
          the Earl of Leicester and others of his party, as well as more doubtful
          members, such as the Earls of Norfolk and Warenne,
          and Roger Mortimer, bidding them set their seals to the peace, and offering
          them pardon if they would sign within a certain time. The absence of so many
          great nobles was alone sufficient to deprive the decrees of this Parliament of
          any force; and the question seems not to have been settled even so, for in the
          early part of next year the sheriffs were still under discussion. Finally King
          Richard cut the matter short by ruling, when the question was referred to him,
          that the right of appointment and dismissal belonged to the king alone. From
          this it may be judged what sort of a peace it was that Simon de Montfort was
          bidden to sign, and how little he was likely to sign it, though others weakly
          acquiesced. During the winter of 1261-62 he remained in stubborn silence
          abroad, occupied partly in negotiations with Louis, partly perhaps in
          collecting his forces for the inevitable struggle. But he did not force it on :
          he bided his time. In England the royalist cause was in the ascendant, and
          Henry determined on a journey to France, to destroy the last hopes of his
          enemies by securing the consent of Louis to his plans.
   So safe did he feel himself that he issued a
          proclamation, declaring that since the barons had not kept their side of the
          engagement, and since the Pope had absolved him from his, he considered himself
          free from all promises made with respect to the Provisions of Oxford; still he
          should not fail to keep all the statutes of the Great Charter and the Charter
          of Forests. At the same time the form of peace lately made seems to have been
          published throughout England, with a kind of promise that certain difficulties
          should be settled by means of peaceable discussion with the chiefs of the
          baronial party. Preparations were even made for taking up anew the mad scheme
          of conquest in Africa in conjunction with the King of Castile. The work of 1258
          was completely upset, with the exception of the peace with France : the
          baronial party was dissolved, the king to all appearance more firmly seated
          than ever. The despair felt by those whose hopes, three or four years ago, had
          been so high is expressed in the song which calls on the barons collectively to
          observe that which they had sworn, and bids several by name to keep their word.
          The Earl of Gloucester is exhorted to finish what he has begun unless he would
          deceive many. The Earl of Norfolk is reminded of his military prowess, and
          bidden as a good knight to use his strength in a just cause. Above all Simon de
          Montfort is exhorted not to fear, since the foreign hounds are few, and it is
          he who should take the lead against the common foe.
           No greater testimony could be paid to the manner in
          which Simon had become an Englishman of the English : he was praised as “the
          key of England, who had locked out the aliens for three years”; his personal
          character, his qualities as a leader of men, moulded others to his will; the younger men, we find, especially followed him, though
          the older stood aloof At the same time, the words of the song show that he had
          not yet reached the position he held three or four years later: it was not
          thought necessary after the battle of Lewes to exhort him not to fear, but to
          take the post of leader as his right. He might indeed have said that he never
          knew fear, but there were doubtless some at this time who attributed his
          waiting policy to a dread of the seemingly hopeless contest. His attitude was
          often overbearing, his temper, as we have seen, was sharp; for he knew himself
          to be true, and did not spare words to express his contempt and hatred of a
          breach of faith. Add to this a strong individuality, which had in it no small
          element of personal ambition, and we need not be much surprised that the ruling
          families of England refused to follow his lead, and looked upon him with a
          jealousy which deepened into hate. There was however a larger, if not so
          powerful a class, which regarded him as their only safeguard, and it was this
          class which on the death of the Earl of Gloucester in the summer of 1262
          invited him to return and be their leader. He did not fail to respond to the
          call. After eighteen months absence in France, broken perhaps by a visit to
          England in the autumn of 1262, he returned to England in the spring of 1263.
          Thenceforward, since for the present Gilbert de Clare, the young Earl of
          Gloucester, followed him with heart and soul, he appeared as the summoned
          undisputed head of the baronial party, knowing whom he had to trust and with
          whom he had to deal. From this point the struggle takes a new aspect. The hopes
          of the reformers revive, their action becomes more united, their attitude more
          firm. A far more earnest and thorough character pervades the whole movement.
   But we must return for a moment to the king. If he
          hoped at once to win over Louis, when he determined on his journey to France in
          the winter of 1261-62, he was much mistaken. Two years were to elapse before he
          was successful. Just before his departure from England Louis had announced to
          him that he saw as yet no way of making peace between him and de Montfort. But
          this only had the effect of making him more eager for the journey, in order
          personally to direct the negotiations. He left England in July 1262, and
          probably met Prince Edward, who had been in Gascony, in Paris. There he fell
          very ill of a fever, which threw back for some time the progress of his plans.
          Other obstacles too were in the way, and so fruitless appeared the attempt to
          win over Louis, that in October Henry wrote to his justiciar, Philip Basset, to
          say that no further advance had been made toward peace between him and the
          earl, and that he did not intend to make any more attempts in that direction.
          At the same time he warned him to be on his guard against the machinations of
          Simon, without however saying what these machinations were. It is uncertain
          whether he ever met the earl in France. If, as seems probable, the latter
          seized the opportunity of Henry’s absence to pay a short visit to England this
          autumn, this will perhaps account for the fact that Henry hastened his return,
          and arrived at Dover just before Christmas 1362. He found troubles in
          abundance. The disturbances with Wales had broken out again, and the barons of
          the Marches were at open war with Llewelyn. It is not impossible that these
          were the machinations of de Montfort, against which Henry warned his minister.
          The earl may have encouraged the Welch, in order, under cover of their attack,
          the more easily to prosecute his own plans. That serious disagreements between
          the barons engaged in the Welch war had taken place is evident from a letter,
          in which the king sought to allay these disputes.
           Meanwhile however the French king remained the centre of interest. Henry wrote to him shortly after his
          return to England, begging him to settle the question speedily in his favour, “since the realm had long been disturbed and
          damaged by the earl”. He sent fresh envoys over, and besought the queen, his
          sister-in-law, to use her influence in his behalf. It must have been a sore
          disappointment when his ambassadors announced to him, in February 1263, that
          Louis was unwilling to enter further into the matter; for the Earl of Leicester
          had told him that the king meant well enough, but was misled by evil
          counsellors, special enemies of the earl; that the latter therefore had
          declared he could not agree to the arbitration, and had begged the King of
          France to give himself no further trouble. To this request Louis was evidently
          inclined to accede. The hint was obvious; Henry should dismiss these evil
          counsellors and make his peace with the earl. He had in fact made a great
          mistake. He had, by submitting the question to arbitration, practically recognised Simon’s equality, in the hope of getting a verdict
          against him, but the judge from whom he hoped so much had as yet refused to
          decide in his favour. Time was precious, and this
          last check went near destroying his chance, for civil war broke out immediately
          afterwards. How far Simon de Montfort had been in earnest in submitting to the
          verdict of the French king is uncertain; he must have felt that the questions
          at stake were such as made the device of arbitration a mere farce, for the
          result would certainly be rejected by the defeated party. Yet at this time it
          cannot be doubted that he stood at least as high in the favour of Louis as his adversary, and it seems likely that he too fancied he could get
          the weight of such a verdict on his side. In the certainty that he would at
          least not be opposed by Louis, he now decided on a bolder policy, and returned
          to England to put it into execution.
   
           CHAPTER IX. THE BARONS’ WAR.
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