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| BISMARCKAND THE FOUNDATION OF THE GERMAN EMPIRE1815-1898
 CHAPTER XIII.
              THE OUTBREAK OF WAR WITH FRANCE. 1867-1870.
              
           Ever since the
          conclusion of peace, the danger of a conflict between France and Germany had
          been apparent. It was not only the growing discontent and suspicion of the
          French nation and the French army, who truly felt that the supremacy of France
          had been shaken by the growth of this new power; it was not only that the
          deep-rooted hatred of France which prevailed in Germany had been stirred by
          Napoleon's action, and that the Germans had received confidence from the
          consciousness of their own strength. Had there been nothing more than this,
          year after year might have gone by and, as has
          happened since and had happened before, a war always anticipated might have
          been always deferred. We may be sure that Bismarck would not have gone to war
          unless he believed it to be necessary and desirable, and he would not have
          thought this unless there was something to be gained. He has often shewn, before and since, that he was quite as well able to use his
          powers in the maintenance of peace as in creating causes for war. There was,
          however, one reason which made war almost inevitable. The unity of Germany was
          only half completed; the southern States still existed in a curious state of
          semi-isolation. This could not long continue; their position must be regulated.
          War arises from that state of uncertainty which is always present when a
          political community has not found a stable and permanent constitution. In
          Germany men were looking forward to the time when the southern States should
          join the north. The work was progressing; the treaties of offensive and
          defensive alliance had been followed by the creation of a new Customs' Union,
          and it was a further step when at Bismarck's proposal a Parliament consisting
          of members elected throughout the whole of Germany was summoned at Berlin for
          the management of matters connected with the tariff. Further than this,
          however, he was not able to go; the new Constitution was working well; they
          could risk welcoming the States of the south into it; but this could not be
          done without a war with France. Bismarck had rejected the French proposal for
          an alliance. He knew, and everyone else knew, that France would oppose by the
          sword any attempt to complete the unity of Germany; and, which was more serious, unless great caution was used, that she would be
          supported by Austria and perhaps by the anti-Prussian party in Bavaria. There
          were some who wished to press it forward at once. Bismarck was very strongly
          pressed by the National Liberals to hasten the union with the south; at the
          beginning of 1870 the Grand Duke of Baden, himself a son-in-law of the King of
          Prussia and always the chief supporter of Prussian influence in the south,
          formally applied to be admitted into the Federation. The request had to be
          refused, but Bismarck had some difficulty in defending his position against his
          enthusiastic friends. He had to warn them not to hurry; they must not press the
          development too quickly. If they did so, they would stir the resentment of the
          anti-Prussian party; they would play into the hands of Napoleon and Austria.
          But if there was danger in haste, there was equal danger in delay; the prestige
          of Prussia would suffer.
   It
          is clear that there was one way in which the union might be brought about
            almost without resistance, and that was, if France were to make an unprovoked
            attack upon Germany, an attack so completely without reason and excuse that the
            strong national passion it provoked might in the enthusiasm of war sweep away
            all minor differences and party feelings.
   There was another
          element which we must not omit. These years witnessed the growth in
          determination and in power of the Ultramontane party. We can find their
          influence in every country in Europe; their chief aim was the preservation of
          the temporal power of the Pope and the destruction of the newly created Kingdom
          of Italy. They were also opposed to the unity of Germany under Prussia. They
          were very active and powerful in South Germany, and at the elections in 1869
          had gained a majority. Their real object must be to win over the Emperor of the
          French to a complete agreement with themselves, to persuade him to forsake his
          earlier policy and to destroy what he had done so much to create. They had a
          strong support in the person of the Empress, and they joined with the injured
          vanity of the French to press the Emperor towards war.
   In 1867, war had
          almost broken out on the question of Luxemburg. Napoleon had attempted to get
          at least this small extension of territory; relying on the support of Prussia
          he entered into negotiations with the King of Holland;
          the King agreed to surrender the Grand Duchy to France, making, however, a
          condition that Napoleon should secure the assent of Prussia to this
          arrangement. At the very last moment, when the treaty was almost signed,
          Bismarck made it clear that the national feeling in Germany was so strong that
          if the transaction took place he would have to declare
          war against France. At the same time, he published the secret treaties with the
          southern States. These events destroyed the last hope of maintaining the old
          friendly relations with Napoleon; "I have been duped," said the Emperor, who at once began reorganising and rearming his forces. For some weeks there was great danger of war
          concerning the right of garrisoning Luxemburg; this had hitherto belonged to
          Prussia, but of course with the dissolution of the German Confederation the
          right had lapsed. The German nation, which was much excited and thought little
          of the precise terms of treaties, wished to defend the right; Bismarck knew
          that in this matter the Prussian claim could not be supported; moreover, even
          if he had wished to go to war with France he was not
          ready; for some time must elapse before the army of the North German
          Confederation could be reorganised on the Prussian
          model. He therefore preserved the peace and the matter
          was settled by a European Congress. In the summer of 1867, he visited Paris
          with the King; externally the good relations between the two States were
          restored, but it was in reality only an armed peace.
   It is difficult to
          decipher Napoleon's wishes; he seems to have believed that war was inevitable;
          there is no proof that he desired it. He made preparations;
          the army was reorganised, the numbers increased, and
          a new weapon introduced. At the same time he looked
          about for allies. Negotiations were carried on with Austria; in 1868 a meeting
          was arranged between the two Emperors; Beust, who was
          now Chancellor of the Austrian Empire, was anxious to make an
            attempt to overthrow the power of Prussia in Germany. In 1870,
          negotiations were entered into for a military alliance; a special envoy,
          General Lebrun, was sent to Vienna to discuss the military arrangements in case
          of war. No treaty was signed, but it was an almost understood thing that sooner
          or later an alliance between the two Emperors should be formed against Prussia.
   It will be seen
          then that at the beginning of 1870 everything was tending towards war, and that
          under certain circumstances war was desirable, both for France and for Germany;
          much seemed to depend on the occasion of the outbreak.
          If Prussia took the offensive, if she attempted by force to win the southern
          States, she would be faced by a coalition of France and Austria, supported only
          too probably by Bavaria, and this was a coalition which would find much
          sympathy among the discontented in North Germany. On the other hand, it was for
          the advantage of Prussia not to delay the conflict: the King was growing old;
          Bismarck could never be sure how long he would remain in office; moreover, the
          whole forces of North Germany had now been completely reorganised and were ready for war, but with the year 1871 it was to be foreseen that a
          fresh attempt would be made to reduce their numbers; it was desirable to avoid
          a fresh conflict on the military budget; everything shews that 1870 was the
          year in which it would be most convenient for Prussia to fight.
   Prussia, at this
          time, had no active allies on whom she could depend; Bismarck indeed had
          secured the neutrality of Russia, but he did not know that the Czar would come
          actively to his help; we may feel sure that he would prefer not to have to call
          upon Russia for assistance, for, as we have seen in older days, a war between
          France and Russia, in which Germany joined, would be very harmful to Germany.
          It was in these circumstances that an opportunity shewed itself of gaining
          another ally who would be more subservient than Russia. One of the many
          revolutions which had harassed Spain during this century had broken out. Queen
          Isabella had lost the throne, and General Prim found himself obliged to look
          about for a new sovereign. He applied in vain to all the Catholic Courts;
          nobody was anxious to accept an honour coupled with
          such danger as ruling over the Spanish people. Among others he applied to
          Leopold, hereditary Prince of Hohenzollern, eldest son of that Prince of
          Hohenzollern who a few years before had been President of the Prussian
          Ministry. The choice seemed a good one: the Prince was
          an amiable, courageous man; he was a Catholic; he was, moreover, connected with
          the Napoleonic family. His brother had, three years before, been appointed King
          of Roumania with Napoleon's good-will.
   The proposal was
          probably made in all good faith; under ordinary circumstances, the Prince, had he been willing to accept, would have been a
          very proper candidate. It was, however, known from the first that Napoleon
          would not give his consent, and, according to the comity of Europe, he had a
          right to be consulted. Nor can we say that Napoleon was not justified in
          opposing the appointment. It has indeed been said that the Prince was not a member of the Prussian Royal House and that his connection with
          Napoleon was really closer than that with the King of Prussia. This is true,
          but to lay stress on it is to ignore the very remarkable voluntary connection
          which united the two branches of the House of Hohenzollern. The Prince's father had done what no sovereign prince in Germany
          has ever done before or since: out of loyalty to Prussia he had surrendered his
          position as sovereign ruler and presented his dominions to the King of Prussia;
          he had on this occasion been adopted into the Royal Family; he had formally recognised the King as Head of the House, and subjected
          himself to his authority. More than this, he had even condescended to accept
          the position of Prussian Minister. Was not Napoleon justified if he feared that
          the son of a man who had shewn so great an affection to Prussia would not be an
          agreeable neighbour on the throne of Spain?
   It was in the early spring of 1869 that the first proposals were made to the Prince; our information as to this is very defective, but it seems that they were at once rejected. Benedetti's suspicions were, however, aroused. He heard that a Spanish diplomatist, who had formerly been Ambassador at Berlin, had again visited the city and had had two interviews with Bismarck. He feared that perhaps he had some mission with regard to the Hohenzollern candidature, and, in accordance with instructions from his Government, enquired first of Thiele and, after a visit to Paris, saw Bismarck himself. The Count was quite ready to discuss the matter; with great frankness he explained all the reasons why, if the throne were offered to the Prince, the King would doubtless advise him not to accept it. Benedetti was still suspicious, but for the time the matter dropped. From what happened later, thou gh we have no proof,
            we must, I think, share his suspicion that Bismarck was already considering the
            proposal and was prepared to lend it his support.
                 In September of the
            same year, the affair began to advance. Prim sent Salazar, a Spanish gentleman,
            to Germany with a semi-official commission to invite the Prince to become a candidate, and gave him a letter to a German acquaintance who would
            procure him an introduction to the Prince. This German acquaintance was no
            other than Herr von Werther, Prussian Ambassador at Vienna. If we remember the
            very strict discipline which Bismarck maintained in the Diplomatic Service we
            must feel convinced that Werther was acting according to instructions.[9] He
            brought the envoy to the Prince of Hohenzollern; the very greatest caution was
            taken to preserve secrecy; the Spaniard did not go directly to the castle of Weinburg, but left the train at another station, waited in
            the town till it was dark, and only approached the castle when hidden from
            observation by night and a thick mist. He first of all asked Prince Charles himself to accept the throne, and when he refused, offered
            it to Prince Leopold, who also, though he did not refuse point-blank, left no
            doubt that he was disinclined to the proposal; he could only accept, he said,
            if the Spanish Government procured the assent of the Emperor Napoleon and the
            King of Prussia. Notwithstanding the reluctance of the family to take the
            proffered dignity, Herr von Werther (and we must look on him as Bismarck's
            agent) a fortnight later travelled from Munich in order to press on the Prince of Roumania that he should use
            his influence not to allow the House of Hohenzollern to refuse the throne. For
            the time, however, the subject seems to have dropped. A few months later, for
            the third time, the offer was repeated, and now Bismarck uses the whole of his
            influence in its favour. At the end of February, Salazar came on an official
            mission to Berlin; he had three letters, one to the King, one to Bismarck, one
            to the Prince. The King refused to receive him; Prince
            Leopold did not waver in his refusal and was supported by his father; their
            attitude was that they should not consider the matter seriously unless higher
            reasons of State required it. With Prince Bismarck, however, the envoy was more
            successful; he had several interviews with the Minister, and then left the city
            in order that suspicions might not be aroused or the
            attention of the French Government directed to the negotiations. Bismarck
            pleaded with great warmth for the acceptance of the offer; in a memoir to the
            King, he dwelt on the great importance which the summons of a Hohenzollern
            prince to the Spanish throne would have for Germany; it would be politically
            invaluable to have a friendly land in the rear of France; it would be of the
            greatest economic advantage for Germany and Spain if this thoroughly
            monarchical country developed its resources under a king of German descent. In
            consequence of this, a conference was held at Berlin, at which there were
            present, besides the King, the Crown Prince, Prince Carl Anton, and Prince
            Leopold, Bismarck, Roon, Moltke, Schleinitz,
            Thiele, and Delbrück. By summoning the advice of these men, the matter was
            taken out of the range of a private and family matter; it is true that it was
            not officially brought before the Prussian Ministry, but those consulted were
            the men by whom the policy of the State was directed. The unanimous decision of
            the councillors was for acceptance on the ground that
            it was the fulfilment of a patriotic duty to Prussia. The Crown Prince saw
            great difficulties in the way, and warned his cousin, if he accepted, not to
            rely on Prussian help in the future, even if, for the attainment of a definite
            end, the Prussian Government furthered the project for the moment. The King did
            not agree with his Ministers; he had many serious objections,
              and refused to give any definite order to the Prince that he should
            accept the offer; he left the final decision to him. He eventually refused.
             Bismarck, however,
            was not to be beaten; he insisted that the Hohenzollerns should not let the
            matter drop; and, as he could not persuade the King to use his authority, acted
            directly upon the family with such success that Prince Carl Anton telegraphed
            to his third son, Frederick, to ask if he would not accept instead of his
            brother. Bismarck had now declared that the acceptance by one of the Princes was a political necessity; this he said repeatedly
            and with the greatest emphasis. At the same time, he despatched a Prussian officer of the general staff and his private secretary, Lothar
            Bucher, to Spain in order that they might study the situation. It was important
            that as far as possible the official representative of Prussia should have no
            share in the arrangement of this matter.
             Prince Frederick
            came to Berlin, but, like his brother, he refused, unless the King gave a
            command. At the end of April, the negotiations seemed again to have broken
            down. Bismarck, who was in ill health, left Berlin for Varzin,
            where he remained for six weeks.
             We are, however,
            not surprised, since we know that Bismarck's interest was so strongly engaged,
            that he was able after all to carry the matter through. He seems to have
            persuaded Prince Carl Anton; he then wrote to Prim telling him not to despair;
            the candidature was an excellent thing which was not to be lost sight of; he
            must, however, negotiate not with the Prussian Government, but with the Prince himself. When he wrote this he knew that he had at last succeeded in breaking down the reluctance of the
            Prince, and that the King, though he still was unwilling to undertake any
            responsibility, would not refuse his consent if the Prince voluntarily
            accepted. Prince Leopold was influenced not only by his interest in the Spanish
            race, but also by a letter from Bismarck, in which he said that he ought to put
            aside all scruples and accept in the interests of Prussia. The envoys had also
            returned from Spain and brought back a favourable report; they received an extraordinarily hearty welcome; we may perhaps suspect
            with the King that they had allowed their report to receive too rosy a colour; no doubt, however, they were acting in accordance
            with what they knew were the wishes of the man who had sent them out. In the
            beginning of June the decision was made; Prince
            Leopold wrote to the King that he accepted the crown which had been offered to
            him, since he thereby hoped to do a great service to his Fatherland. King
            William immediately answered that he approved of the decision.
             Bismarck then at
            last was successful. A few days later Don Salazar again travelled to Germany;
            this time he brought a formal offer, which was formally-accepted.
            The Cortes were then in session; it was arranged that they should remain at
            Madrid till his return; the election would then be at once completed, for a
            majority was assured. The secrecy had been strictly maintained; there were rumours indeed, but no one knew of all the secret
            interviews; men might suspect, but they could not prove that it was an intrigue
            of Bismarck. If the election had once been made the solemn act of the whole
            nation, Napoleon would have been confronted with a fait accompli. To have
            objected would have been most injurious; he would have had to do, not with
            Prussia, which apparently was not concerned, but with the Spanish nation. The
            feeling of France would not allow him to acquiesce in the election, but it
            would have deeply offended the dignity and pride of Spain had he claimed that
            the King who had been formally accepted should, at his demand, be rejected. He
            could scarcely have done so without bringing about a war; a war with Spain
            would have crippled French resources and diverted their attention from Prussia;
            even if a war did not ensue, permanent ill feeling would be created. It is not
            difficult to understand the motives by which Bismarck had been influenced. At
            the last moment the plan failed. A cipher telegram from Berlin was
            misinterpreted in Madrid; and in consequence the Cortes, instead of remaining
            in session, were prorogued till the autumn. All had depended on the election
            being carried out before the secret was disclosed; a delay of some weeks must
            take place, and some indiscreet words of Salazar disclosed the truth. General
            Prim had no course left him but to send to the French Ambassador, to give him
            official information as to what had been done and try to calm his uneasiness.
             What were
            Bismarck's motives in this affair? It is improbable that he intended to use it
            as a means of bringing about a war with France. He could not possibly have
            foreseen the very remarkable series of events which were to follow, and but for
            them a war arising out of this would have been very unwise, for German public
            opinion and the sympathy of all the neutral Powers would have been opposed to
            Prussia, had it appeared that the Government was disturbing the peace of Europe
            simply in order to put a Prussian prince on the throne of Spain contrary to the
            wishes of France. He could not ignore German public opinion now as he had done
            in old days; he did not want to conquer South Germany, he wished to attract it.
            It seems much more probable that he had no very clear conception of the results
            which would follow; he did not wish to lose what might be the means of gaining
            an ally to Germany and weakening France. It would be quite invaluable if,
            supposing there were to be war (arising from this or other causes), Spain could
            be persuaded to join in the attack on France and act the part which Italy had
            played in 1866. What he probably hoped for more than anything else was that
            France would declare war against Spain; then Napoleon would waste his strength
            in a new Mexico; he would no longer be a danger to
            Germany, and whether Germany joined in the war or not, she would gain a free
            hand. by the preoccupation of France. If none of these events happened, it
            would be an advantage that some commercial gain might be secured for Germany.
             On
            the whole, the affair is not one which shews his strongest points as a
              diplomatist; it was too subtle and too hazardous.
               The news aroused
            the sleeping jealousy of Prussia among the French people; the suspicion and
            irritation of the Government was extreme, and this feeling was not ill-founded.
            They assumed that the whole matter was an intrigue of Bismarck's, though, owing
            to the caution with which the negotiations had been conducted, they had no
            proofs. They might argue that a Prussian prince could not accept such an offer
            without the permission of his sovereign, and they had a great cause of
            complaint that this permission had been given without any communication with Napoleon,
            whom the matter so nearly concerned. The arrangement itself was not alone the
            cause of alarm. The secrecy with which it had been surrounded was interpreted
            as a sign of malevolence.
                 Of
            course they must interfere to prevent the election being completed. Where,
              however, were they to address themselves? With a just instinct they directed
              their remonstrance, not to Madrid, but to Berlin; they would thereby appear not
              to be interfering with the independence of the Spaniards, but to be acting in self-defence against the insidious advance of German power.
               They could not,
            however, approach Bismarck; he had retired to Varzin,
            to recruit his health; the other Ministers also were absent; the King was at
            Ems. It was convenient that at this sudden crisis they
            should be away, for it was imperative that the Prussian Government should deny
            all complicity. Bismarck must not let it appear that he had any interest in, or
            knowledge of, the matter; he therefore remained in the seclusion of Pomerania.
             Benedetti also was
            absent in the Black Forest. On the 4th of July, therefore, the French Chargé d'Affaires, M. de Sourds, called
            at the Foreign Office and saw Herr von Thiele. "Visibly embarrassed,"
            he writes, "he told me that the Prussian Government was absolutely
            ignorant of the matter and that it did not exist for them." This was the
            only answer to be got; in a despatch sent on the 11th
            to the Prussian agents in Germany, Bismarck repeated the assertion. "The
            matter has nothing to do with Prussia. The Prussian Government has always
            considered and treated this affair as one in which Spain and the selected
            candidate are alone concerned." This was literally true, for it had never
            been brought before the Prussian Ministry, and no doubt the records of the
            office would contain no allusion to it; the majority of the Ministers were absolutely ignorant of it.
             Of course M. de Sourds did not believe Herr von Thiele's statement, and his
            Government was not satisfied with the explanation; the excitement in Paris was
            increasing; it was fomented by the agents of the Ministry, and in answer to an
            interpolation in the Chamber, the Duc de Grammont on
            the 6th declared that the election of the Prince was inadmissible; he trusted
            to the wisdom of the Prussian and the friendship of the Spanish people not to
            proceed in it, but if his hope were frustrated they would know how to do their
            duty. They were not obliged to endure that a foreign Power by setting one of
            its Princes on the throne of Charles V. should destroy the balance of power and
            endanger the interests and honour of France. He hoped
            this would not happen; they relied on the wisdom of the German and the
            friendship of the Spanish people to avoid it; but if it were necessary, then,
            strong in the support of the nation and the Chamber, they knew how to fulfil
            their duty without hesitation or weakness.
             The French Ministry
            hereby publicly declared that they held the Prussian Government responsible for
            the election, and they persisted in demanding the withdrawal, not from Spain,
            but from Prussia; Prim had suggested that as the Foreign Office refused to
            discuss the matter, Grammont should approach the King
            personally. Benedetti received instructions to go to the King at Ems and
            request him to order or advise the Prince to withdraw.
            At first Grammont wished him also to see the Prince himself; on second thoughts he forbade this, for, as
            he said, it was of the first importance that the messages should be conveyed by
            the King; he was determined to use the opportunity for the humiliation of
            Germany.
             If it was the
            desire of the French in this way to establish the complicity of Prussia, it was
            imperative that the Prussian Government should not allow them to do so. They
            were indeed in a disagreeable situation; they could not take up the French
            challenge and allow war to break out; not only would the feeling of the neutral
            Powers, of England and of Russia, be against them, but that of Germany itself
            would be divided. With what force would the anti-Prussian party in Bavaria and Wurtemberg be able to oppose a war undertaken apparently
            for the dynastic interests of the Hohenzollern! If, however, the Prince now withdrew, the French would be able to proclaim
            that he had done so in consequence of the open threats of France; supposing
            they were able to connect the King in any way with him, then they might assert
            that they had checked the ambition of Prussia; Prussian prestige would be
            seriously injured at home, and distrust of Prussian good faith would be aroused
            abroad.
             The King therefore
            had a difficult task when Benedetti asked for an interview. He had been brought
            into this situation against his own will, and his former scruples seemed fully
            justified. He complained of the violence of the French Press and the Ministry;
            he repeated the assertion that the Prussian Government had been unconnected
            with the negotiations and had been ignorant of them; he had avoided associating
            himself with them, and had only given an opinion when Prince Leopold, having
            decided to accept, asked his consent. He had then acted, not in his sovereign
            capacity as King of Prussia, but as head of the family. He had neither
            collected nor summoned his council of Ministers, though he had informed Count
            Bismarck privately. He refused to use his authority to order the Prince to withdraw, and said that he would leave him full
            freedom as he had done before.
             These statements
            were of course verbally true; probably the King did not know to what extent
            Bismarck was responsible for the acceptance by the Prince.
            They did not make the confidence of the French any greater; it was now apparent
            that the King had been asked, and had given his
            consent without considering the effect on France; they could not acquiesce in
            this distinction between his acts as sovereign and his acts as head of the
            family, for, as Benedetti pointed out, he was only head of the family because
            he was sovereign.
             All this time
            Bismarck was still at Varzin; while Paris was full of
            excitement, while there were hourly conferences of the Ministers and the city
            was already talking of war, the Prussian Ministers ostentatiously continued to
            enjoy their holidays. There was no danger in doing so; the army was so well
            prepared that they could afford quietly to await what the French would do. What
            Bismarck's plans and hopes were we do not know; during
            these days he preserved silence; the violence of the French gave him a further
            reason for refusing to enter into any discussion. When, however, he heard of
            Benedetti's visit to Ems he became uneasy; he feared that the King would
            compromise himself; he feared that the French would succeed in their endeavour to inflict a diplomatic defeat on Prussia. He
            proposed to go to Ems to support the King, and on the 12th left Varzin; that night he arrived in Berlin. There he received
            the news that the Prince of Hohenzollern, on behalf of his son, had announced
            his withdrawal.
             The retirement was
            probably the spontaneous act of the Prince and his
            father; the decisive influence was the fear lest the enmity of Napoleon might
            endanger the position of the Prince of Roumania.
            Everyone was delighted; the cloud of war was dispelled; two men only were dissatisfied—Bismarck and Grammont.
            It was the severest check which Bismarck's policy had yet received; he had
            persuaded the Prince to accept against his will; he had persuaded the King
            reluctantly to keep the negotiations secret from Napoleon; however others might
            disguise the truth, he knew that they had had to retreat from an untenable
            position, and retreat before the noisy insults of the French Press and the open
            menace of the French Government; his anger was increased by the fact that
            neither the King nor the Prince had in this crisis acted as he would have
            wished.
             We have no
            authoritative statement as to the course he himself would have pursued; he had,
            according to his own statement, advised the King not to receive the French
            Ambassador; probably he wished that the Prince should declare that as the
            Spaniards had offered him the crown and he had accepted it, he could not now
            withdraw unless he were asked to do so by Spain; the attempt of Grammont to fasten a quarrel on Prussia would have been
            deprived of any responsible pretext; he would have been compelled to bring
            pressure to bear on the Spaniards, with all the dangers that that course would
            involve. We may suspect that he had advised this course and that his advice had
            been rejected. However this may be, Bismarck felt the
            reverse so keenly that it seemed to him impossible he could any longer remain
            Minister, unless he could obtain redress for the insults and menaces of France.
            What prospect was there now of this? It was no use now going on to Ems; he proposed
            to return next day to Varzin, and he expected that
            when he did so he would be once more a private man.
             He was to be saved
            by the folly of the French. Grammont, vain, careless,
            and inaccurate, carried away by his hatred of Prussia, hot-headed and blustering,
            did not even see how great an advantage he had gained. When Guizot, now a very
            old man, living in retirement, heard that the Prince had withdrawn, he exclaimed: "What good fortune these people have! This is
            the finest diplomatic victory which has been won in my lifetime." This is
            indeed the truth; how easy it would have been to declare that France had spoken and her wishes had been fulfilled! the Government
            need have said no more, but every Frenchman would have always told the story
            how Bismarck had tried to put a Hohenzollern on the throne of Spain, had been
            foiled by the word of the Emperor, and had been driven from office. Grammont prepared to complete the humiliation of Prussia,
            and in doing so he lost all and more than all he had won.
             He had at first
            declared that the withdrawal of the Prince was
            worthless when it was officially communicated to him by Prussia; now he
            extended his demands. He suggested to the Prussian Ambassador at Paris that the
            King should write to the Emperor a letter, in which he
            should express his regret for what had happened and his assurance that he had
            had no intention of injuring France. To Benedetti he telegraphed imperative
            orders that he was to request from the King a guarantee for the future, and a
            promise that he would never again allow the Prince to
            return to the candidature. It was to give himself over to an implacable foe. As
            soon as Bismarck heard from Werther of the first suggestion, he telegraphed to
            him a stern reprimand for having listened to demands so prejudicial to the honour of his master, and ordered him, under the pretext of
            ill health, to depart from Paris and leave a post for which he had shown
            himself so ill-suited.
             That same morning he saw Lord Augustus Loftus, and he explained that
            the incident was not yet closed; Germany, he said, did not wish for war, but
            they did not fear it. They were not called on to endure humiliations from
            France; after what had happened they must have some
            security for the future; the Duc de Grammont must
            recall or explain the language he had used; France had begun to prepare for war
            and that would not be allowed.
             "It is
            clear," writes the English Ambassador, "that Count Bismarck and the
            Prussian Ministry regret the attitude which the King has shewn to Count
            Benedetti, and feel, in regard to public opinion, the
            necessity of guarding the honour of the nation."
             To the Crown
            Prince, who had come to Berlin, Bismarck was more open; he declared that war
            was necessary.
                 This very day there
            were taking place at Ems events which were to give him the opportunity for
            which he longed. On Benedetti had fallen the task of presenting the new demands
            to the King; it was one of the most ungrateful of the many unpleasant duties
            which had been entrusted to him during the last few years. In the early
            morning, he went out in the hope that he might see someone of the Court; he met
            the King, himself who was taking the waters. The King at once beckoned to him,
            entered into conversation, and shewed him a copy of the Cologne Gazette
            containing the statement of the Prince's withdrawal.
            Benedetti then, as in duty bound, asked permission to inform his Government that the King would undertake that the
            candidature should not be resumed at any time. The King, of course, refused,
            and, when Benedetti pressed the request, repeated the refusal with some
            emphasis, and then, beckoning to his adjutant, who had withdrawn a few paces,
            broke off the conversation. When a few hours later the King received a letter
            from the Prince of Hohenzollern confirming the public statement, he sent a
            message to Benedetti by his aide-decamp, Count Radziwill,
            and added to it that there would now be nothing further to say, as the incident
            was closed. Benedetti twice asked for another interview, but it was refused.
             He had done his
            duty, he had made his request, as he expected, in vain, but between him and the
            King there had been no departure by word or gesture from the ordinary courtesy
            which we should expect from these two accomplished gentlemen. All the
            proceedings indeed had been unusual, for it was not the habit of the King, as
            it was of Napoleon, to receive foreign envoys except on the advice of his
            Ministers, and the last conversation had taken place on the public promenade of
            the fashionable watering-place; but the exception had been explained and
            justified by the theory that the King's interest in the affair was domestic and
            not political. Both were anxious to avoid war, and the King to the last treated
            Benedetti with marked graciousness; he had while at Ems invited him to the royal
            table, and even now, the next morning before leaving Ems, granted him an
            audience, at the station to take leave. Nevertheless, he had been seriously
            annoyed by this fresh demand; he was pained and surprised by the continuance of
            the French menaces; he could not but fear that there was a deliberate intention
            to force a quarrel on him. He determined, therefore, to return to Berlin, and
            ordered Abeken, Secretary to the Foreign Office, who
            was with him, to telegraph to Bismarck an account of what had taken place, with
            a suggestion that the facts should be published.
             It happened that
            Bismarck, when the telegram arrived, was dining with Roon and Moltke, who had both been summoned to Berlin. The three men were gloomy and
            depressed; they felt that their country had been humiliated, and they saw no
            prospect of revenge. This feeling was increased when Bismarck read aloud the
            telegram to his two colleagues. These repeated and impatient demands, this
            intrusion on the King's privacy, this ungenerous playing with his kindly and
            pacific disposition, stirred their deepest indignation; to them it seemed that
            Benedetti had been treated with a consideration he did not deserve; the man who
            came with these proposals should have been repulsed with more marked
            indignation. But in the suggestion that the facts should be published, Bismarck
            saw the opportunity he had wished. He went into the next room and drafted a
            statement; he kept to the very words of the original telegram, but he left out
            much, and arranged it so that it should convey to the reader the impression,
            not of what had really occurred, but of what he would have wished should
            happen. With this he returned, and as he read it to them, Roon and Moltke brightened; here at last was an answer to the French insults;
            before, it sounded like a "Chamade" (a retreat), now it is a
            "Fanfare," said Moltke. "That is better," said Roon. Bismarck asked a few questions about the army. Roon assured him that all was prepared; Moltke, that,
            though no one could ever foretell with certainty the result of a great war, he
            looked to it with confidence; they all knew that with the publication of this
            statement the last prospect of peace would be gone. It was published late that
            night in a special edition of the North German Gazette, and at the same time a
            copy was sent from the Foreign Office to all German embassies and legations.
             It is not
            altogether correct to call this (as has often been done) a falsification of the
            telegram. Under no circumstances could Bismarck have published in its original form
            the confidential message to him from his sovereign; all he had to do was to
            communicate to the newspapers the facts of which he had been informed, or so
            much of the facts as it seemed to him desirable that the public should know.
            He, of course, made the selection in such a form as to produce upon public
            opinion the particular effect which for the purposes
            of his policy he wished. What to some extent justifies the charge is that the
            altered version was published under the heading, "Ems." The official statement was supplemented by another notice in the North German
            Gazette, which was printed in large type, and stated that Benedetti had so far
            forgotten all diplomatic etiquette that he had allowed himself to disturb the
            King in his holidays, to intercept him on the promenade, and to attempt to
            force demands upon him. This was untrue, but on this point the telegram to
            Bismarck had been itself incorrect. Besides this, Bismarck doubtless saw to it
            that the right instructions should be given to the writers for the Press.
             But, indeed, this
            was hardly necessary; the statement itself was a call to arms. During all these
            days the German people had been left almost without instruction or guidance
            from the Government; they had heard with astonishment the sudden outbreak of
            Gallic wrath; they were told, and were inclined to believe it, that the
            Prussian Government was innocent of the hostile designs attributed to it; and
            the calm of the Government had communicated itself to them. They remained
            quiet, but they were still uneasy, they knew not what to think; now all doubt
            was removed. It was then true that with unexampled eagerness the French had
            fastened an alien quarrel upon them, had without excuse or justification
            advanced from insult to insult and menace to menace; and now, to crown their
            unparalleled acts, they had sent this foreigner to intrude on the reserve of
            the aged King, and to insult him publicly in his own country. Then false
            reports came from Ems; it was said that the King had publicly turned his back
            on Benedetti on the promenade, that the Ambassador had followed the King to his
            house, and had at last been shown the door, but that even then he had not
            scrupled again to intrude on the King at the railway station. From one end of
            Germany to another a storm of indignation arose; they had had enough of this
            French annoyance; if the French wished for war then war should they have; now
            there could no longer be talk of Prussian ambition; all differences of North
            and South were swept away; wherever the German tongue was spoken men felt that
            they had been insulted in the person of the King, that it was theirs to protect
            his honour, and from that day he reigned in their
            hearts as uncrowned Emperor.
             The telegram was as
            successful in France as in Germany. There the question of peace and war was
            still in debate; there was a majority for peace, and indeed there was no longer
            an excuse for war which would satisfy even a Frenchman. Then there came in
            quick succession the recall and disavowment of the
            Prussian Ambassador, news of the serious language Bismarck had used to Lord A.
            Loftus, and then despatches from other Courts that an
            official message had been sent from Berlin carrying the record of an insult
            offered to the King by the French Ambassador; add to this the changed tone of
            the German Press, the enthusiasm with which the French challenge had been taken
            up; they could have no doubt that they had gone too far; they would now be not
            the accuser but the accused; had they wished, they did not dare retreat with
            the fear of the Paris mob before them, and so they decided on war, and on the
            15th the official statement was made and approved in the Chamber.
             It was on this same
            day that the King travelled from Ems to Berlin. When he left Ems he still refused to believe in the serious danger of war, but as he travelled
            north and saw the excited crowd that thronged to meet him at every station his
            own belief was almost overthrown. To his surprise, when he reached Brandenburg he found Bismarck and the Crown Prince awaiting
            him; the news that they had come to meet the King was itself looked on almost
            as a declaration of war; all through the return journey Bismarck unsuccessfully
            tried to persuade his master to give the order for mobilisation.
            When they reached Berlin they found the station again
            surrounded by a tumultuous throng; through it pressed one of the secretaries of
            the Foreign Office; he brought the news that the order for mobilisation had been given in France. Then, at last, the reluctance of the King was broken
            down; he gave the order, and at once the Crown Prince, who was standing near,
            proclaimed the news to all within earshot. The North German Parliament was
            summoned, and five days later Bismarck was able to announce to them that he had
            received the Declaration of War from France, adding as he did so that this was
            the first official communication which throughout the whole affair he had
            received from the French Government, a circumstance for which there was no
            precedent in history.
             What a contrast is
            there between the two countries! On the one hand, a King and a Minister who by seven years of loyal co-operation have learnt to trust
            and depend upon one another, who together have faced danger, who have not
            shrunk from extreme unpopularity, and who, just for this reason, can now depend
            on the absolute loyalty of the people. On the other side, the Emperor broken in health, his will shattered by prolonged
            pain and sickness, trying by the introduction of liberal institutions to free
            himself from the burden of government and weight of responsibility which he had
            voluntarily taken upon his shoulders. At Berlin, Bismarck's severity and love
            of power had brought it about that the divergent policy and uncertainty of
            early years had ceased; there was one mind and one
            will directing this State; the unauthorised interference and amateur criticism of courtiers were no longer permitted. In
            France, all the evils from which Prussia had been freed by Bismarck were
            increasing; here there was no single will; the Ministry were divided, there was
            no authority over them; no one could foresee by whom the decision of the Emperor would be determined; the deliberate results of long
            and painful negotiations might be overthrown in ten minutes by the interference
            of the Empress or the advice of Prince Napoleon. The Emperor would pursue half a dozen inconsistent policies in as many hours. And then,
            below all, there was this fatal fact, that Napoleon could not venture to be
            unpopular. He knew the folly of the course into which he was being driven, but
            he did not dare to face the mob of Paris, or to defy the Chamber of Deputies.
            He owed his throne to universal suffrage, and he knew that the people who had
            set him up could quickly overthrow him. No man can ever govern who fears
            unpopularity. Bismarck did not, Napoleon did.
             Before the campaign
            began, two events took place which we must record. The first was the
            publication in the Times of the text of the treaty with France regarding
            Belgium. We need not add anything further to what we have said regarding it;
            published at this moment it had a great effect on English public opinion. The
            other arose out of the opposition which the exiled King of Hanover had
            continued to maintain. He had used the very large sums of money which he
            possessed to keep together a Hanoverian Legion, recruited from former officers
            and soldiers of the Hanoverian army. He had hoped that war would break out
            before this and would be accompanied by a rising in Hanover. His means had now
            come to an end, and the unfortunate men were living in Paris almost without
            support. They were now exposed to a terrible alternative. They could not return
            to Germany; they did not wish to take part in a war on the French side. Their
            only hope was emigration to America. Bismarck heard of their position; he
            offered to pardon them all and to pay to them from the Prussian funds the full
            pension which they would have received had they continued to serve in the
            Hanoverian army. It was a timely act of generosity, and it had the effect that
            the last element of hostility in Germany was stilled and the whole nation could
            unite as one man in this foreign war.
                 
             CHAPTER XIV.
                THE WAR WITH FRANCE AND FOUNDATION OF THE EMPIRE. 1870-1871.
                
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