READING HALLDOORS OF WISDOM |
BISMARCKAND THE FOUNDATION OF THE GERMAN EMPIRECHAPTER X.
OUTBREAK OF WAR WITH AUSTRIA.1865-1866.
The arrangement
made at Gastein could not be permanent; it was only a
temporary expedient to put off the conflict which henceforward was
inevitable—inevitable, that is, if the Emperor of Austria still refused to sell
Holstein to Prussia. It was, however, so far as it went, a great gain to
Prussia, because it deprived Austria of the esteem of the other German States.
Her strength had hitherto lain in her strict adhesion to popular feeling and to
what the majority of the Germans, Princes and people
alike, believed was justice; by coming to a separate agreement with Prussia,
she had shaken their confidence. Bavaria especially was much annoyed by this
change of front, and it seemed probable that the most important of the southern
States would soon be ranged on the side of Prussia. This was a consummation
which Bismarck ardently desired, and to which he addressed himself with much
energy.
The attitude of
France was more important than that of the German States, and in the autumn Bismarck made a fresh visit to that country. Just as
he had done the year before, he went to take the sea-baths at Biarritz. This
step was the more remarkable because Napoleon had received the news of the
Treaty of Gastein with marked displeasure,
and had given public expression to his opinions. Bismarck saw Drouyn de Lhuys at Paris and then
went on to Biarritz where the Emperor was; for ten
days he lived there in constant association with the Imperial family. The
personal impression which he made was very favourable:
"A really great man," wrote Mérimée,
"free from feeling and full of esprit." He saw Napoleon again on his
return through Paris; the two succeeded in coming to an understanding. Napoleon
assured him that he might depend on the absolute neutrality of France, in case
of a war between Prussia and Austria; it was agreed also that the annexation of
the Duchies to Prussia would not be an increase of territory which would cause
any uneasiness at Paris; Napoleon would view it with favour. Bismarck went farther
than this; he opened the subject of a complete reform of the German
Constitution on the lines that Prussia was to have a free hand in the north of
Germany; he pointed out "that the acquisition of the Duchies would only be
an earnest for the fulfilment of the pledge which history had laid upon the
State of Prussia; for the future prosecution of it we need the most friendly relations with France. It seems to me in the
interest of France to encourage Prussia in the ambitious fulfilment of her
national duty."
The Emperor acquiesced; as we know, the division of Europe into
large national States was what he meant by Napoleonic ideas; he was willing
enough to help in Germany a change such as that he had brought about in Italy.
It was agreed that events should be allowed to develop themselves; when the
time came it would be easy enough to come to some definite agreement.
This however was
not all; it was not to be expected that Napoleon should render Prussia so
valuable a service without receiving something in exchange; we know Bismarck's
opinion of a statesman who, out of sympathy for another country, would
sacrifice the interests of his own. The creation of a strong consolidated State
in the north of Germany could not be in the interests of France; the power of
France had always been founded on the weakness of Germany. Even if Napoleon
himself, with his generous and cosmopolitan sympathies, was willing to make the
sacrifice, France was not; Napoleon knew, and Bismarck knew, that Napoleon
could not disregard the feeling of the country; his power was based on
universal suffrage and the popularity of his name; he could not, as a King of
Prussia could, brave the displeasure of the people. France must then have some
compensation. What was it to be? What were to be the terms of the more intimate
and special understanding? We do not know exactly what was said; we do know that Bismarck led both the Emperor and his Ministers to believe that
Prussia would support them in an extension of the frontier. He clearly stated
that the King would not be willing to surrender a single Prussian village; he
probably said that they would not acquiesce in the restoration to France of any
German territory. France therefore must seek her reward in a French-speaking
people. It was perhaps an exaggeration if Drouyn de Lhuys said "he offered us all kinds of things which
did not belong to him," but Napoleon also in later years repeated that
Bismarck had promised him all kinds of recompenses. No written agreement was
made; that was reserved for later negotiations, but there was a verbal
understanding, which both parties felt was binding. This was the pendant to the
interview of Plombières. But Bismarck had improved on
Cavour's example; he did not want so much, he asked only for neutrality: the
King of Prussia would not be called upon, like Victor Emmanuel, to surrender
the old possessions of his House.
Bismarck returned
to Berlin with his health invigorated by the Atlantic winds and his spirits
raised by success. The first step now was to secure the help of Italy; he had
seen Nigra, the Italian Minister, at Paris, and told him that war was
inevitable; he hoped he could reckon on Italian alliance, but there was still,
however, much ground for anxiety that Austria might succeed in arranging affairs
with Italy.
The relations of
the four Powers at this time were very remarkable. All
turned on Venetia. The new Kingdom of Italy would not rest until it had secured
this province. Napoleon also was bound by honour to
complete his promise and "free Italy to the Adriatic"; neither his
throne nor that of his son would be secure if he failed to do so. A war between
Austria and Prussia would obviously afford the best opportunity, and his whole
efforts were therefore directed to preventing a reconciliation between the two
German Powers. His great fear was that Austria should come to terms with Prussia, and surrender the Duchies on condition that Prussia
should guarantee her Italian possessions. When Bismarck visited Napoleon at
Biarritz, the first question of the Emperor was,
"Have you guaranteed Venetia to Austria?" It was the fear of this
which caused his anger at the Treaty of Gastein. On
the other hand, Bismarck had his reasons for anxiety. It was always possible
that Austria, instead of coming to terms with Prussia, might choose the other
side; she might surrender Venetia in order to obtain
French and Italian support in a German war. The situation indeed was this:
Austria was liable at any moment to be attacked by both Italy and Prussia; it
would probably be beyond her strength to resist both assailants at the same
time. A wise statesman would probably have made terms with one or the other. He
would have either surrendered Venetia, which was really a source of weakness,
to Italy, or agreed with Prussia over the Duchies and the German problem,
thereby gaining Prussian support against Italy. The honourable pride of Mensdorf and the military party in Austria
refused to surrender anything till it was too late.
None the less, the
constant fear lest Austria should make terms with one of her enemies for a long
time prevented an alliance between Prussia and Italy. The Italians did not
trust Bismarck; they feared that if they made a treaty with him, he would allow
them to get entangled in war, and then, as at Gastein,
make up his quarrel with Austria. Bismarck did not trust the Italians; he
feared that they and Napoleon would even at the last moment take Venetia as a
present, and, as very nearly happened, offer Austria one of the Prussian
provinces instead. It was impossible to have any reliance on Napoleon's
promises, for he was constantly being pulled two ways; his own policy and
sympathies would lead him to an alliance with Prussia; the clerical party,
which was yearly growing stronger and had the support of the Empress, wished
him to side with the Catholic power. In consequence, even after his return from
France, Bismarck could not pass a day with full security that he might not find
himself opposed by a coalition of Austria, France, and Italy; the Austrians
felt that they were to be made the victims of a similar coalition between
Prussia, France, and Italy; France always feared a national union between the
two great German Powers.
Bismarck began by
completing and bringing to a conclusion the
arrangements for a commercial treaty with Italy; at the beginning of January
the King of Prussia sent Victor Emmanuel the order of the Black Eagle; Bismarck
also used his influence to induce Bavaria to join in the commercial treaty and
to recognise the Kingdom of Italy. Then on January
13th he wrote to Usedom that the eventual decision in
Germany would be influenced by the action of Italy; if they could not depend on
the support of Italy, he hinted that peace would be maintained; in this way he
hoped to force the Italians to join him.
Affairs in the
Duchies gave Bismarck the opportunity for adopting with good grounds a hostile
attitude towards Austria; Gablenz, the new Governor of Holstein, continued to
favour the Augustenburg agitation. Many had expected
that Austria would govern Holstein as a part of the Empire; instead of doing
so, with marked design the country was administered as though it were held in
trust for the Prince; no taxes were levied, full
freedom was allowed to the Press, and while the Prussians daily became more
unpopular in Schleswig the Austrians by their leniency won the affection of
Holstein. At the end of January, they even allowed a mass meeting, which was
attended by over 4000 men, to be held at Altona. This made a very unfavourable impression on the King, and any action of
Austria that offended the King was most useful to Bismarck. "Bismarck is
using all his activity to inspire the King with his own views and
feelings," wrote Benedetti, the French Ambassador, at this time. At the
end of January he felt sufficiently secure to protest
seriously against the Austrian action in Holstein. "Why," he asked,
"had they left the alliance against our common enemy, the
Revolution?" Austria, in return, refused peremptorily to allow Bismarck
any voice in the administration of Holstein. Bismarck, when the despatch was read to him, answered curtly that he must
consider that henceforth the relations of the two Powers had lost their
intimate character; "we are as we were before the Danish war, neither
worse nor better." He sent no answer to the Austrian despatch and ceased to discuss with them the affairs of the Duchies.
This was a fair
warning to Austria and it was understood; they took it
as an intimation that hostilities were intended, and from this day began
quietly to make their preparations. As soon as they did this, they were given
into Bismarck's hands; the Prussians, owing to the admirable organisation of the army, could prepare for war in a
fortnight or three weeks' time less than the Austrians would require; Austria
to be secure must therefore begin to arm first; as soon as she did so the
Prussian Government would be able, with full protestation of innocence, to
point to the fact that they had not moved a man, and then to begin their own mobilisation, not apparently for offence but, as it were,
to protect themselves from an unprovoked attack. In a minute of February 22d
Moltke writes that it would be better for political reasons not to mobilise yet; then they would appear to put Austria in the
wrong; Austria had now 100,000 men in Bohemia and it
would be impossible to undertake any offensive movement against Prussia with
less than 150,000 or 200,000; to collect these at least six weeks would be
required, and the preparations could not be concealed. Six days later a great
council was held in Berlin. "A war with Austria must come sooner or later;
it is wiser to undertake it now, under these most favourable circumstances, than to leave it to Austria to choose the most auspicious moment
for herself," said Bismarck. The rupture, he explained, had already really
been effected; that had been completed at his last
interview with Karolyi. Bismarck was supported by most of the Ministers; the
King said that the Duchies were worth a war, but he still hoped that peace
would be kept. The arrangement of the foreign alliances was now pushed on. The
King wrote an autograph letter to Napoleon saying that the time for the special
understanding had come; Goltz discussed with him at length the terms of French
compensation. Napoleon did not ask for any definite promise,
but suggested the annexation of some German territory to France; it was
explained to him that Prussia would not surrender any German territory, but
that, if France took part of Belgium, the Prussian frontier must be extended to
the Maas, that is, must include the north-east of Belgium.
Again no definite
agreement was made, but Napoleon's favouring neutrality seemed secure. There was more difficulty with Italy, for here an
active alliance was required, and the Italians still feared they would be
tricked. It was decided to send Moltke to Florence to arrange affairs there;
this, however, was unnecessary, for Victor Emmanuel sent one of his generals, Govone, nominally to gain some information about the new
military inventions; for the next three weeks, Govone and Barrel, the Italian Minister, were engaged in constant discussions as to
the terms of the treaty. Of course the Austrians were
not entirely ignorant of what was going on.
The negotiations
with Italy roused among them intense bitterness; without actually mobilising they slowly and cautiously made all
preliminary arrangements; a despatch was sent to
Berlin accusing the Prussians of the intention of breaking the Treaty of Gastein, and another despatch to
the German Courts asking for their assistance. Karolyi waited on Bismarck,
assured him that their military preparations, were purely defensive, and asked
point-blank whether Prussia proposed to violate the treaty. The answer, of
course, was a simple "No," but according to the gossip of Berlin,
Bismarck added, "You do not think I should tell you if I did intend to do
so." On March 24th a despatch was sent to the
envoys at all the German Courts drawing their attention to the Austrian
preparations, for which it was said there was no cause; in view of this obvious
aggression Prussia must begin to arm. That this was a mere pretext is shewn by
a confidential note of Moltke of this same date; in it he states that all the
Austrian preparations up to this time were purely defensive; there was as yet no sign of an attempt to take the offensive. Two days
later, a meeting of the Prussian Council was held and the orders for a partial mobilisation of the army were given, though some time
elapsed before they were actually carried out.
Under the constant
excitement of these weeks Bismarck's health again began to break down; except
himself, there was in fact scarcely a single man who desired the war; the King
still seized every opportunity of preserving the peace; England, as so often,
was beginning to make proposals for mediation; all the Prussian diplomatists,
he complained, were working against his warlike projects. He made it clear to
the Italians that the result would depend on them; if they would not sign a
treaty there would be no war. The great difficulty in arranging the terms of
the treaty was to determine who should begin. The old suspicion was still
there: each side expected that if they began they
would be deserted by their ally. The suspicion was unjust, for on both sides
there were honourable men. The treaty was eventually
signed on April 9th; it was to the effect that if Prussia went to war with
Austria within the next three months, Italy would also at once declare war;
neither country was to make a separate peace; Prussia would continue the war
till Venetia was surrendered. On the very day that this treaty was signed,
Bismarck, in answer to an Austrian despatch, wrote
insisting that he had no intention of entering on an offensive war against
Austria. In private conversation he was more open; to Benedetti he said:
"I have at last succeeded in determining a King of Prussia to break the
intimate relations of his House with that of Austria, to conclude a treaty of
alliance with Italy, to accept arrangements with Imperial France; I am proud of
the result."
Suddenly a fresh
impediment appeared: the Austrians, on April 18th, wrote proposing a disarming
on both sides; the Prussian answer was delayed for many days; it was said in
Berlin that there was a difference of opinion between Bismarck and the King;
Bismarck complained to Benedetti that he was wavering: when at last the answer
was sent it was to accept the principle, but Bismarck boasted that he had
accepted it under such conditions that it could hardly be carried out.
The reluctance of
the King to go to war caused him much difficulty; all his influence was
required; it is curious to read the following words which he wrote at this
time:
"It is opposed
to my feelings, I may say to my faith, to attempt to use influence or pressure
on your paternal feelings with regard to the decision on peace or war; this is
a sphere in which, trusting to God alone, I leave it to your Majesty's heart to
steer for the good of the Fatherland; my part is prayer, rather than
counsel"; and then he again lays before the King the insuperable arguments
in favour of war.
Let us not suppose
that this letter was but a cunning device to win the consent of the King. In
these words more than in anything else we see his
deepest feelings and his truest character. Bismarck was no Napoleon; he had
determined that war was necessary, but he did not go to the terrible
arbitrament with a light heart. He was not a man who from personal ambition
would order thousands of men to go to their death or bring his country to ruin.
It was his strength that he never forgot that he was working, not for himself,
but for others. Behind the far-sighted plotter and the keen intriguer there always
remained the primitive honesty of his younger years. He may at times have
complained of the difficulties which arose from the reluctance of the King to
follow his advice, but he himself felt that it was a source of strength to him
that he had to explain, justify, and recommend his policy to the King.
All anxiety was,
however, removed by news which came the next day. A report was spread
throughout the papers that Italy had begun to mobilise,
and that a band of Garibaldians had crossed the frontier. The report seems to
have been untrue. How it originated we know not; when Roon heard of it he exclaimed, "Now the Italians are arming, the Austrians
cannot disarm." He was right. The Austrian Government sent a message to
Berlin that they would withdraw part of their northern army from Bohemia, but must at once put the whole of their southern
army on a war footing. Prussia refused to accept this plea, and the order for
the mobilisation of the Prussian army went out.
As soon as Austria
had begun to mobilise, war was inevitable; the state
of the finances of the Empire would not permit them to maintain their army on a
war footing for any time. None the less, another six weeks were to elapse
before hostilities began.
We have seen how
throughout these complications Bismarck had desired, if he fought Austria, to
fight, not for the sake of the Duchies, but for a reform of the German
Confederation.
In March he had
said to the Italians that the Holstein question was not enough to warrant a
declaration of war. Prussia intended to bring forward the reform of the
Confederation. This would take several months. He hoped that among other
advantages, he would have at least Bavaria on his side; for the kind of proposal he had in his mind, though at this time he seems to
have had no clear plan, was some arrangement by which the whole of the north of
Germany should be closely united to Prussia, and the southern States formed in
a separate union with Bavaria at the head. He had always pointed out, even when
he was at Frankfort, that Bavaria was a natural ally of Prussia. In a great war
the considerable army of Bavaria would not be unimportant.
At the beginning of
April Bismarck instructed Savigny, his envoy at the Diet, to propose the
consideration of a reform in the Constitution. The proposal he made was quite
unexpected. No details were mentioned as to changes in the relations of the Princes, but a Parliament elected by universal suffrage and
direct elections was to be chosen, to help in the management of common German
affairs. It is impossible to exaggerate the bewilderment and astonishment with
which this proposal was greeted. Here was the man who had risen into power as
the champion of monarchical government, as the enemy of Parliaments and
Democracy, voluntarily taking up the extreme demand of the German Radicals. It
must be remembered that universal suffrage was at this time regarded not as a
mere scheme of voting,—it was a principle; it was the
cardinal principle of the Revolution; it meant the sovereignty of the people.
It was the basis of the French Republic of 1848, it had been incorporated in
the German Constitution of 1849, and this was one of the reasons why the King
of Prussia had refused then to accept that Constitution. The proposal was
universally condemned. Bismarck had perhaps hoped to win the Liberals; if so,
he was disappointed; their confidence could not be gained by this sudden and
amazing change—they distrusted him all the more; "a Government that, despising the laws of its own country, comes forward with plans for
Confederate reform, cannot have the confidence of the German people," was
the verdict of the National party. The Moderate Liberals, men like Sybel, had always been opposed to universal suffrage; even
the English statesmen were alarmed; it was two years before Disraeli made his
leap in the dark, and here was the Prussian statesman making a far bolder leap
in a country not yet accustomed to the natural working of representative
institutions. He did not gain the adhesion of the Liberals, and he lost the confidence
of his old friends. Napoleon alone expressed his pleasure that the institutions
of the two countries should become so like one another.
There was, indeed,
ample reason for distrust; universal suffrage meant not only Democracy,—it
was the foundation on which Napoleon had built his Empire; he had shewn that the voice of the people might become the
instrument of despotism. All the old suspicions were aroused; people began to
see fresh meaning in these constant visits to France; Napoleon had found an apt
pupil not only in foreign but in internal matters. It could mean nothing more
than the institution of a democratic monarchy; this was Bonapartism; it seemed
to be the achievement of that change which, years ago, Gerlach had foreboded.
No wonder the King of Hanover began to feel his crown less steady on his head.
What was the truth
in the matter? What were the motives which influenced Bismarck? The explanation
he gave was probably the true one: by universal suffrage he hoped to attain a
Conservative and monarchical assembly; he appealed from the educated and
Liberal middle classes to the peasants and artisans. We remember how often he
had told the Prussian House of Commons that they were not the true
representatives of the people.
"Direct
election and universal suffrage I consider to be greater guarantees of
Conservative action than any artificial electoral law; the artificial system of
indirect election and elections by classes is a much more dangerous one in a
country of monarchical traditions and loyal patriotism. Universal suffrage,
doing away as it does with the influence of the Liberal bourgeoisie, leads to
monarchical elections."
There was in his
mind a vague ideal, the ideal of a king, the father of his country, supported
by the masses of the people. He had a genuine interest in the welfare of the
poorest; he thought he would find in them more gratitude and confidence than in
the middle classes. We know that he was wrong; universal suffrage in Germany
was to make possible the Social Democrats and Ultramontanes; it was to give the
Parliamentary power into the hands of an opponent far more dangerous than the
Liberals of the Prussian Assembly. Probably no one had more responsibility for
this measure than the brilliant founder of the Socialist party. Bismarck had
watched with interest the career of Lassalle; he had seen with admiration his
power of organisation; he felt that here was a man
who in internal affairs and in the management of the people had something of
the skill and courage which he himself had in foreign affairs. He was a great
demagogue, and Bismarck had already learnt that a man who aimed at being not
only a diplomatist, but a statesman and a ruler, must have something of the
demagogic art. From Lassalle he could learn much. We have letters written two
years before this in which Lassalle, obviously referring to some previous
conversation, says: "Above all, I accuse myself of having forgotten
yesterday to impress upon you that the right of being elected must be given to
all Germans. This is an immense means of power; the moral conquest of
Germany." Obviously there had been a long discussion, in which Lassalle
had persuaded the Minister to adopt universal suffrage. The letters continue
with reference to the machinery of the elections, and means of preventing
abstention from the poll, for which Lassalle professes to have found a magic
charm.
One other remark we
must make: this measure, as later events were to prove, was in some ways
characteristic of all Bismarck's internal policy. Roon once complained of his strokes of genius, his unforeseen decisions. In foreign
policy, bold and decisive as he could be, he was also cautious and prudent; to
this he owes his success; he could strike when the time came, but he never did
so unless he had tested the situation in every way; he never began a war unless
he was sure to win, and he left nothing to chance or good fortune. In internal
affairs he was less prudent; he did not know his ground so well, and he
exaggerated his own influence. Moreover, in giving up the simpler Conservative
policy of his younger years, he became an opportunist; he would introduce
important measures in order to secure the support of a
party, even though he might thereby be sacrificing the interests of his country
to a temporary emergency. He really applied to home affairs the habits he had
learned in diplomacy; there every alliance is temporary; when the occasion of
it has passed by, it ceases, and leaves no permanent
effect. He tried to govern Germany by a series of political alliances; but the
alliance of the Government with a party can never be barren; the laws to which
it gives birth remain. Bismarck sometimes thought more of the advantage of the
alliance than of the permanent effect of the laws.
Even after this
there was still delay; there were the usual abortive attempts at a congress,
which, as in 1859, broke down through the refusal of Austria to give way. There
were dark intrigues of Napoleon, who even at the last moment attempted to
divert the Italians from their Prussian alliance. In Germany there was extreme
indignation against the man who was forcing his country into a fratricidal war.
Bismarck had often received threatening letters; now an attempt was made on his life; as he was walking along Unter den Linden a young man approached and fired several shots at him. He was seized
by Bismarck, and that night put an end to his own life in prison. He was a
South German who wished to save his country from the horrors of civil war.
Moltke, now that all was prepared, was anxious to begin. Bismarck still
hesitated; he was so cautious that he would not take the first step. At last the final provocation came, as he hoped it would, from
Austria. He knew that if he waited long enough they
would take the initiative. They proposed to summon the Estates of Holstein, and
at the same time brought the question of the Duchies before the Diet. Bismarck
declared that this was a breach of the Treaty of Gastein,
and that that agreement was therefore void; Prussian troops were ordered to
enter Holstein. Austria appealed for protection to the Diet,
and moved that the Federal forces should be mobilised.
The motion was carried by nine votes to seven. The Prussian Envoy then rose and
declared that this was a breach of the Federal law; Prussia withdrew from the
Federation and declared war on all those States which had supported Austria.
Hanover and Hesse had to the end attempted to maintain neutrality, but this
Bismarck would not allow; they were given the alternative of alliance with
Prussia or disarmament. The result was that, when war began, the whole of
Germany, except the small northern States, was opposed to Prussia. "I have
no ally but the Duke of Mecklenburg and Mazzini," said the King.
CHAPTER XI.
THE CONQUEST OF GERMANY. 1866.
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